Vendy's Journal of Life

Tag: Market Analysis

Sideways EUR/USD & Stock Back in Business

by vahn on Mar.08, 2010, under Forex, Stock & Options, Trading

Forex Trade


After down about 2 month without rest, it seem EUR/USD on consolidation right now. From the movement pattern, there is more probability to be bullish for a while, even i think not to much. Honestly, i don’t like this situation, because i have to play fast on this non trending pair. There are not too much important economic data will be realeased this week, except Unemployement Claims on Thursday & Retail Sales on Friday.

Stock Market Trade

Stock Market continue to rebound into it’s previous high on 1148.  S&P 500 index gapped up and closed higher on Friday following a favorable jobless report released earlier on friday. (continue reading…)

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Crazy Day of Greece

by vahn on Feb.10, 2010, under Stock & Options, Trading

Crazy Day. Yesterday was really really crazy. Currency surge unexpectedly immediately after the news of the debt crisis in Greece. I suffer some losses yesterday on EUR/USD Trade. This is the use of stop loss in our software platform. It’s very important to limit our losses. There is a quote said “Keep your limit small, and let’s the profit grow”. Yesterday, EUR/USD move 140 pips in just 25 minutes. Really sensational movement. Usually EUR/USD need 1 day to move 140 pips. That’s why i say it’s crazy

(continue reading…)

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Stock Market Weakness. Technology & Materials lead the down

by vahn on Feb.07, 2010, under Stock & Options, Trading

Index seems to hold enough from wave of selling this Friday. But the chart seems to form a pattern that has the great potential to bearsih although still possible for a rebound.

S & P 500 has to pass through support in 1030 if the Bears want to win the battle (continue reading…)

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Oversold EUR/USD

by vahn on Feb.05, 2010, under Forex, Trading

Just exactly like i predicted, EUR/USD slide down again. I think the EUR/USD still on downtrend, but beware of profit taking by speculators which can cause an oversold rebound. I don’t think buy position is a good idea for this condition, but i just give some posibble scenario that can occur. Let’s see the chart

On the chart, we can see that based on fibonachi retracement, there is a possibility that EUR/USD will bounce for profit taking before continute to sink again. I still love sell position, but i think we must trade more carefully on this oversold market like this. Trade small position or play scalping is a good idea for now.

Some event to noticed today are : Non-Farm Employment Change (USD) and Unemployment Rate (USD).

EUR/USD Trend :

Long Term : Bearsih

Mid Term : Bearish

Short Term : Oversold

Happy Trading for you all.

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Dollar Soar, Stock back in trading range

by vahn on Feb.04, 2010, under Forex, Stock & Options, Trading

Forex Trade

Dollar soar again yesterday. Luckly I still have short position on EUR/USD for long term. I still make a good profit yesteday, and I already covered some buy position today. It’s seem sentiment EUR/USD back to bearish mode. Some event & data I noticed to be influence the EUR/USD movement today are : Minimum Bid Rate (EUR), ECB Press Conference (EUR), Unemployment Claims (USD) and FOMC Member Hoenig Speaks (USD).

We have a support from last low @1.853 on EUR/USD. Can this support hold the downtrend wave of EUR/USD. I still prefer my last week view. Sell on any rebound on EUR/USD

(continue reading…)

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Downside Movement?

by vahn on Feb.02, 2010, under Stock & Options, Trading

US Stock Market Trade

After about 2 weeks decline, finally S&P 500 closed up yesterday. We enter February with a good start. On 2010, S&P 500 started from 1115.10 and the January close was 1073.83. So there was a 41.27-point decline. I still sense some downside movement on the market. But i’m not sure what will happen in the next few days.

Let’s see what happen on the chart. I checked my intraday chart. I’ve found a pattern like this.

It’s very interesting to see what happen today. If market down again today, it’s likely the market will continue to go down.

If it can breakout the resistance line, the story will be totally different.

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Downtrend Confirmation on EUR/USD

by vahn on Jan.29, 2010, under Forex, Trading

For you who follow EUR/USD movement, it’s seem clear enough to make sure that the downtrend signal on EUR/USD already confirmed. I personally already take sell position on EUR/USD since last week. Today, when i am browsing on currensee, i found some interesting statistic. Most of traders have long position on EUR/USD and still hold them with floating loss. Here is the data :

(continue reading…)

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Dollar Strength & Stock Market Correction

by vahn on Jan.28, 2010, under Forex, Stock & Options, Trading

Forex Trade

Dollar continue to rise, and I still hold my sell position on EUR/USD (already make more than 100 pips profit). Like what i said in my last post. There should be large probability for trend change. I am holding sell position for long term and playing short term mostly on sell side.

(continue reading…)

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Long Term Trend Change?

by vahn on Jan.21, 2010, under Forex, Trading

I got sick on saturday. On monday, my brother was sick. From monday to yesterday, i must take care of my brothers because his sick kinda serious. Yesterday, my brother finally have to entered hospital because of 2 desease : typhus and dengue fever. That’s why i can’t post anything recent days. Just hope my brother get well soon.

For you who trading forex, if you follow my trade on my last post, i am sure we already have a very great party. is that right? hahaha. EUR/USD continue to down and down again. Very nice.

What i pay attention now is the long term trend on EUR/USD. Do the long term uptrend on EUR/USD finally over and time to down now? Look on this weekly chart

Still need more confirmation to make sure the trend really changing. But for now, i still prefer trade sell position on any rebound in EUR/USD.

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Downtrend on EUR/USD

by vahn on Jan.15, 2010, under Forex, Trading

Forex EUR/USD Trade

USD : 08:30 pm – Core CPI m/m (H)
USD : 08:30 pm – CPI m/m (M)
USD : 08:30 pm – Empire State Manufacturing Index (M)
USD : 09:15 pm – Capacity Utilization Rate (M)
USD : 09:15 pm -  Industrial Production m/m (M)
USD : 09:55 pm -  Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment (H)
USD : 09:55 pm – Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations (L)

EUR/USD starting to bearish. Look the H1 & Daily Chart

(continue reading…)

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